The model also enters Week 4 of the 2021 season on an incredible 123-81 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season. It went a sizzling 24-14 on top-rated NFL picks last season, returning more than $800. The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up almost $7,900 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception six-plus years ago. Should any of these close matchups be considered in your Week 4 NFL bets? All of the NFL lines are listed below, and before making any Week 4 NFL picks on these games or others, be sure to see the Week 4 NFL predictions from the proven computer model at SportsLine. Miami showed better than many expected last week without starting quarterback Tua Tagovailoa, but are just two-point home favorites against struggling Indianapolis. Although Atlanta has had one of the lowest offensive outputs in the NFL, the Falcons are still just 1.5-point underdogs to Washington, one of the tightest NFL spreads of the week. After last week's atrocious showing against Cleveland, the Bears are only favored by a field goal at home against lowly Detroit in the latest NFL odds from Caesars Sportsbook. Four of the Week 4 NFL lines in the early block of Sunday's games are set at three points or fewer.